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IMF sees global growth at 3% in 2026, inflation higher
09 Jul '26
2 min read
Pic: Shutterstock
Insights
IMF projects global growth at 3.0 per cent in 2026 and 3.4 per cent in 2027, below the 2024-25 average.
War-linked energy risks and stalled disinflation may keep textile and apparel sourcing costs volatile.
AI-led technology demand could support economies tied to the tech value chain.
Exporters, importers and buyers face risks from commodity swings and trade fragmentation.
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has projected global growth at 3 per cent in 2026 and 3.4 per cent in 2027, below the 3.5 per cent average recorded in 2024-25.
The global headline inflation is expected to rise from 4.1 per cent in 2025 to 4.7 per cent in 2026, before easing to 3.9 per cent in 2027, the IMF said in a press statement.
These projections are slightly above its April estimates and indicate that the disinflation trend seen since early 2024 has stalled, a factor relevant to cost planning across sourcing and manufacturing supply chains.
IMF projects global growth at 3.0 per cent in 2026 and 3.4 per cent in 2027, below the 2024-25 average.
War-linked energy risks and stalled disinflation may keep textile and apparel sourcing costs volatile.
AI-led technology demand could support economies tied to the tech value chain.
Exporters, importers and buyers face risks from commodity swings and trade fragmentation.
In its July 2026
World Economic Outlook Update
, the IMF said the slowdown reflects the impact of the war in the Middle East being partly offset by stronger demand-driven momentum in the global technology cycle, supported by advances in artificial intelligence and its adoption.
It said the impac
