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Cambodia's economy to slow further in 2026: IMF
08 Jul '26
2 min read
Pic: Shutterstock
Insights
IMF projects Cambodia's real GDP growth to slow to 3 per cent in 2026 after easing to 5.3 per cent in 2025.
Inflation is projected to average 5.6 per cent in 2026, driven by higher energy prices.
Exporters, importers and sourcing teams face watchpoints around external demand, imports, energy costs and financial stability.
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has projected a further slowdown in Cambodia’s economy in 2026, a macro signal for exporters, importers and sourcing teams tracking external demand, energy costs and financial stability in the country.
Real GDP growth eased to 5.3 per cent in 2025 from 6 per cent in 2024 and is projected to slow to 3 per cent in 2026 before recovering in 2027.
IMF projects Cambodia's real GDP growth to slow to 3 per cent in 2026 after easing to 5.3 per cent in 2025.
Inflation is projected to average 5.6 per cent in 2026, driven by higher energy prices.
Exporters, importers and sourcing teams face watchpoints around external demand, imports, energy costs and financial stability.
The expected 2026 slowdown to higher energy prices, softer external demand and reputational damage linked to scam activities, which it said would weigh on economic activity, weaken tourism and create risks for financial stability, the IMF said in a press release.
Inflation, which averaged 2.5 per cent in 2025, rose sharply in May 2026 and is projected to average 5.6 per cent in 2026 before moderating in 2027.
The external position also weakened in 2025, with the current account moving from a small surplus to a deficit as imports outpaced still-strong exports and remittances declined after the return of migrant workers.
Forei
